STAN Sports Desk — outlook
The Forecast Room · Standard & Friends · 2026

The League Outlook.

Every team's climb and collapse, charted week by week. Explore the actual standings and STAN's model-based power rankings, then follow the transparent win-pace outlook toward the playoffs.

ACTUAL: WEEKS 1–6TWELVE FRANCHISESSIX PLAYOFF SPOTSFORECAST ≠ FACT
How to read this: Solid lines are reconstructed from 6 completed weeks of recorded Sleeper scores. The forward pace table extrapolates current results through Week 14; it does not simulate future matchups or represent calibrated playoff odds. Week 7 is in progress; completed weeks end at Week 6.
01 / The moving picture

From Week 1 to Week 6.

Choose a team to trace its actual position over 6 completed weeks. Switch between standings rank (wins with season points as an editorial tiebreak) and STAN Power Rank, where scoring production gets the louder voice.

02 / Forward looking · Simple pace model

If today's pace held through Week 14...

These are extrapolated standings, not expected win totals from a schedule-aware prediction system. STAN scales each team's completed-game win rate and scoring average to fourteen regular-season weeks, then orders teams by projected win-equivalent pace and scoring pace. That's a transparent baseline to challenge in future updates, not a promise.

Pace
rank
FranchiseCurrent
record
Season
PF
STAN
power
14-week
win pace
14-week
points pace
Playoff outlook

The first six pace-ranked rows are currently in the modeled pace top six; ties and actual playoff seeds use league settings not yet fully reproduced here. We intentionally do not display playoff probabilities until a calibrated future-game simulation is validated.

03 / The takeaways

Power versus position: the newsroom's favorite argument.

04 / The model notebook

How STAN built the chart.

Expand ranking methodology and limitations

Timeline: each weekly rank uses only results through that completed week. There is no backfilling future results into earlier rankings.

Playoffs: eligibility is six spots, but projected probabilities remain unavailable. A valid simulation will need all future pairings, injuries/lineup uncertainty, scoring variance, league tiebreak rules and rigorous outcome testing.

Source: public Sleeper weekly matchup records, reconciled to the live STAN SF standings baseline. Missing or inconsistent weekly results prevent this page from being regenerated.

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